29, 2020Ĭenters for Disease Control and Prevention, "COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios," Sept. Lead Stories, "Fact Check: The CDC Did NOT Declare COVID Less Fatal Than Flu When Revising Public Health Disaster Plans," Dec. Johns Hopkins University, "Mortality Analyses," accessed Dec. 22, 2020Ĭenters for Disease Control and Prevention, "CDC COVID Data Tracker," accessed Dec. 16, 2020Ĭenters for Disease Control and Prevention, "Weekly Updates by Select Demographic and Geographic Characteristics," accessed Dec. The Conservative Latina on Twitter and Facebook ( archived), Dec. The risk of severe illness from the coronavirus increases with age, the CDC says. "Excess deaths" remain above historical norms. But the numbers of new COVID-19 cases and deaths reported each day in the U.S. At that rate, if every American got COVID-19, there would be almost 6 million deaths.ĭoctors have gotten better at treating the disease since the outbreak of the pandemic, PolitiFact reported. Johns Hopkins University puts the observed case fatality ratio - calculated as the number of known deaths divided by the number of confirmed cases - at about 1.8% for the U.S. The tweet also ignored the toll a seemingly small fatality rate can take when a disease spreads unchecked. The CDC document says the scenarios "are not predictions of the expected effects of COVID-19" and "do not reflect the impact of any behavioral changes, social distancing, or other interventions." It also says "uncertainty remains around nearly all parameter values." Lead Stories debunked a Facebook post citing the same scenarios to wrongly claim that the CDC had downgraded the severity of COVID-19 to something less than the flu. But those infection fatality rates, the document says, are based on data through Aug. The infection fatality rates listed under the scenario marked as the "current best estimate" correspond with the "survival rates" listed in the tweet. "And neither would the person who posted (the tweet)." "We don’t have that data, so we don’t know," added Cindy Prins, an epidemiologist at the University of Florida. Unclear as to where social media users are getting this information." "CDC does not have the data to calculate survivability for COVID-19. "Survival analysis is highly complex," Reed said. CDC spokesperson Jasmine Reed told PolitiFact that the agency has not released any age-specific COVID-19 survival rates, nor does it have mortality rates available. The age-specific "survival rates" listed in the post did not come from the CDC, however. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)Ī screenshot of a viral tweet shared to Facebook that wrongly claimed to show the CDC's COVID-19 survival rates. Screenshots of the tweet were also shared on Facebook and Instagram, where they were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. Why is a COVID-19 vaccine being pushed out so aggressively? Hmmmm." "CDC COVID-19 Survival Rates," said the emoji-filled tweet from Emma Jimenez, a conservative blogger and activist. continues to distribute the first COVID-19 vaccines, a viral tweet shared what it said were "COVID-19 survival rates" from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to downplay the severity of the virus and the need for vaccinations.
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